EPS Colloquium – Dorian Abbot, University of Chicago

Rare Event Simulation in Weather and Climate

My talk will be about applying Rare Event Simulation (RES) tools to generate samples and statistics of rare events in weather and climate. I will describe how RES on a numerically expensive physical model can now be guided by an AI emulator of that model (https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.27066). The rare events produced by RES can then be used to fine tune the emulator to improve performance on the rare event of interest.

To be added to the EPS colloquium mailing list, please contact Caroline Carr at carolinecarr@fas.harvard.edu

Dorian Abbot uses mathematical and computational models to understand and explain fundamental problems in Earth and Planetary Science.