Please follow this link to a recent Gazette article featuring the research of Peter Huybers and Cristi Proistosescu on resolving the differences in temperature ranges based on current climate models and historical records and observations.

Quoting from the article "Huybers and Proistosescu found that while the slow mode of warming contributes a great deal to the ultimate amount of global warming, it is barely present in present-day warming patterns. “Historical observations give us a lot of insight into how climate changes and are an important test of our climate models,” said Huybers, “but there is no perfect analogue for the changes that are coming.”